Friday, October 12, 2012

Housing recovery just keeps getting better and better!!!

The housing recovery just keeps rolling along. The number of foreclosures has hit the lowest point in 5 years. Filings in total are down 7% from August and 16% lower than the same time last year. The combination of an improving economy and lenders working much harder and effectively to help homeowners remain in their homes is what has created the improving conditions.
Some irony for this morning is that Wells Fargo reported record profits primarily related to their improvement in their mortgage banking division the same week that the government filed a lawsuit against Wells Fargo for mortgage fraud. Wells Fargo’s currently announced record profits have nothing to do with the timing of the lawsuit because the government is accusing the bank of mortgage fraud on loans closed between 2002 and 2010. What I do find very interesting and disturbing is that the mortgage crisis began in 200 and based upon the government’s lawsuit, Wells Fargo may have been continuing to commit fraud through 2010 which is 3 years into the mortgage and housing crisis. We will have to watch and see how this plays out.

More evidence of the housing recovery is that JP Morgan Chase also reported record profits relating in large part to improvement in their housing and mortgage division. Jamie Dimon, CEO of the bank made a bold declaration this week that in his opinion the housing recovery has arrived.

What excites me most about all the positive housing news is that even though the market is improving off of very low numbers, the fact is that the positive news for housing just keeps coming. This is bound to accelerate the housing recovery as the “herding effect” begins to take hold. “Herding” is a term often used when people flock together towards a trend. It is likely that with the continuing positive housing news homebuyers will begin to flock back towards the purchase market further improving the overall housing market.

The stock market continues to remain stuck in neutral as the concerns about Spain’s financial troubles along with the stalemate in Congress regarding the “fiscal cliff” has investors sitting on the sidelines. It is clear that until the election is settled, we cannot expect any movement in government.

JJ Mack

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