Once again terror has gripped the nation with the unforeseen
and unprecedented bombing attack at the Boston Marathon. The victims and their families remain in my
thoughts and prayers as I am sure they do yours as well. As a word of caution, if you plan on donating
to any type of charity or support group for the victims, make sure it is a
reputable one. Unfortunately before all
of the victims had been treated or hospitalized, unscrupulous individuals (that
is the nicest word I will use to describe them but we all know what words I
want to use) launched fake charity donation websites to collect money for
victims.
The stock market on Monday plunged 266 points in response to
the terror attack as well as the slowing financial growth taking place in China. It was reported that the Chinese economy grew
only 7.7% in the first quarter when analysts were expecting 8%. The report and the market reaction
demonstrate a clear difference between the Chinese market and the U.S. In the United States we would be happy with
growth of just 3%, however in China less than 8% is considered poor.
Real estate market reports continue to indicate housing is
improving. Housing starts in March
jumped 7.0% after the previous month’s 7.3% jump. There is a difference in the report this
month in that the increase came from multifamily construction which jumped
31.1%. The demand for apartments
throughout the country continues to rise and builders are doing what they can
to meet the demand. Single family starts
declined 4.8% after rising 5.5% in February.
I personally am not too concerned about the one month drop in single
family housing as it is not uncommon to see these reports move back and forth
between single and multifamily construction month to month.
Inflation in the U.S. is becoming dangerously low. The Consumer Price Index showed a decline of
.2% indicating that consumers are still very frugal in their purchasing
habits. Even some of the Fed members are
now beginning to express concern that inflation may be too low and that if it
does not increase we could start seeing deflation take place in the U.S. (Deflation is a pre-curser to heading back
into a recession) However, most economic
experts believe that slow growth will continue in the United States and that
the likely hood of going back into a recession is extremely low especially
since housing continues to improve.
Mortgage rates have once again been dropping to near record
lows and the positive results are showing up in the Mortgage Bankers
Association weekly application report.
The MBA reported that purchase applications jumped 4% and refinances
increased 5% in the prior week.
JJ Mack
916-517-1800
jj.mack@apmortgage.com
www.apmcroseville.com
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