Imagine
walking into a room full of all your bosses and announcing that you just lost 2
billion dollars for the company and it was all because of taking financial
risks that you had no busy taking….CEO Jamie
Dimon of J.P. Morgan Chase announced on Thursday that the company lost this
extraordinary amount of money because there Chief Investment Officer Ina Drew took “flawed positions” on
certain investments. Simply put, Drew
bet on things that the company had no business betting on. Additionally, there
are expectations that another 1 billion will be lost in the next quarter.
The biggest
irony of the story is that J.P. Morgan Chase is one of the companies lobbying
to have a federal law loosened that bans these types of companies from making bets with their own money. Mr.
Dimon, when my child used to come home later than he was supposed to, he would
then argue that he needed to be allowed to come home later. However since he couldn’t follow the first
rule, why in the world would I give him even more freedom? (Good luck getting the Fed’s to allow you to “lose”,
I mean” bet” even more money).
Mortgage
rates continue to remain at record lows and buyers seem to be responding to
it. The Mortgage Bankers Association
reported this week a nice increase of 3.4% in purchase activity. Refinances increased a smaller 1.3%.
Sentiment in
many real estate markets around the country is that the combination of low home
prices with incredibly affordable mortgage rates is making the time perfect to
act on purchasing. In addition, many
markets around the country are beginning to see housing inventories drop which
is creating upward pressure on home prices in certain areas. Ever since the banks had to revamp their
foreclosure practices, the amount of foreclosed homes coming on the market has
dropped significantly which can further impact home prices. Less inventory creates more demand.
The stock
market has been taking it hard this week in that many investors are becoming
more concerned about more financial trouble in Europe. The stock averages have been declining
throughout the week however the losses have not been overwhelming indicating
that although there is concern, panic has not set in.
Gas prices
have dropped approximately 20 cents in the last 30 days giving drivers a
reprieve at the pumps. What is
exceptionally gratifying is that typically gas prices will peak in late May
just as the country is heading into the summer driving season.
Inflation on
the wholesale level remained unchanged this past month indicating that
inflation remains completely in control.
The financial uncertainty in Europe combined with concerns about
corporate profits here in the U.S. continue to keep many investors on the
sidelines and others putting their money into government bonds which is what is
keeping mortgage rates amazingly low.
This week was
a quiet week for economic data. Next
week we may see more volatility as we begin to receive the first of many
housing reports to be released in the next week and a half. I have predicted in the past that we would
see housing numbers improve however I am giving up my predictions for the time
being. Simple reason, is because my
predictions have not been all that accurate, and I can find so many other ways
to embarrass myself, I don’t need to do it by making bad predictions or
bets. (Hmm, maybe there is a job opening
at J.P. Morgan chase for me).
JJ Mack
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